I got out this past weekend, and managed to scout a little. Okay, by scouting I mean I went out to my Thoughtful Spot and drank coffee until the sun came up. Occasionally, I'd slip around to the front porch and sit there for a while.
The result? Nothing. Usually there are 2-4 flocks that fly down within earshot of the house. Right now, there's a big zilch. The past two years have been like this: I don't start hearing turkeys until the last two weeks before season.
I did see a flock Saturday afternoon, down in a creek bottom a few miles from the house. That again matches the pattern of the past couple of years. They seem to want to stay in the bottoms close to the river until just before season and then come up only after the pastures green up. My guess is the reason is our acorn crop has failed pretty bad the past couple of years, and there is little for them to eat up on top of the ridges during the Winter.
In good years, I can be out anytime over the winter and listen to Flydown from the house. Later in the morning I can usually spot of flock or two out in the pasture. They come out in the open and peck their way across the field , usually crossing from one side of the ridge to the other.